TEHRAN – The IAEA Commission convened on Monday, threatening to derail diplomatic involvement with Iran.
Catalyst is a deeply flawed report from IAEA Director Rafael Grossi, accusing Tehran of being “politically motivated” and of relying on “manufacturing data provided by the Zionist regime.”
Despite thorough cooperation with IAEA inspectors and closing past allegations in 2015 (GOV/2015/72), the US and E3 are poised to present a resolution denounced Iran as “non-compliant.”
In a post from Mikhail Ulinov, Russia’s ambassador to Vienna’s international organizations, he predicted “tensty discussions” about Iran’s nuclear program at a future meeting of the IAEA Committee, adding that “certainly, there are no positive results.”
IAEA double standards
The timing and content of the report reveals a transparent political agenda. It revives long-standing allegations regarding four Iranian sites (Rabysancian, Balamin, Maliban and Takzabad), despite Iran providing documented explanations and access.
The report admits that the two sites are “no longer considered to be an open issue,” but have been repackaged to inflate relevant documents for political exploitation.
Importantly, there is no evidence suggesting the conversion of nuclear material for military purposes. The actual Iran is highlighted in formal rebuttals.
This contrasts with the IAEA’s past generosity towards US allies like South Korea and Egypt, both possessing undeclared nuclear material, but escaped a punitive resolution.
Unverified intelligence reporting agencies hostile to Iran, particularly those relying on intelligence reporting agencies linked to Tel Aviv, which are cited obliquely as “third-party sources,” further undermines their claims of fairness.
With an obvious display of selective surveillance, the IAEA also turns a blind eye to the Israeli regime’s vast nuclear program.
The estimates show that hidden weapons are placed on approximately 90 warheads and are backed by enough fissile material to potentially produce hundreds.
Furthermore, while the administration’s ability to launch nuclear weapons from missiles, submarines and aircraft will deepen the gap, secret nuclear facilities such as the IRR-2 research reactors are entirely outside the scope of IAEA protections.
This brave double standard overturns the very principle of world nuclear accountability by not only exposing the hypocrisy of the institution, but also protecting politically favorable states from justly rigorous scrutiny.
“Did E3 really learn anything?”
E3, which employs France, Germany and the UK, reportedly drafted a resolution attempting to activate the UN snapback mechanism before the October deadline, automatically restoring all pre-2015 sanctions in Iran.
The threat of French Jean Noel Barott – “No one second to reimpose sanctions” oversees Hawquish’s attitude of U.S. officials, such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who pressures Europe to act where Washington cannot legally be.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araguchi said, “After years of cooperation with the IAEA, my country has been once again accused of “violation.” When E3 engaged in the same foul action in 2005, the result was the true birth of Iranian uranium enrichment.
His warning is prophetic. Politicized pressure will only accelerate Iran’s nuclear advancement.
Tehran has repeatedly reiterated that its nuclear program is fixed in a “unchanging position” in which nuclear weapons violate Islamic principles. Ayatollah, the fatwa by the leader of the Islamic Revolution, sought Ali Khamenei.
The program remains fully monitored and is concentrated with 60% enrichment (although technically there is a lack of weapon grade) that was done under the IAEA camera.
Iran has become the most tested country by the IAEA. Over 70 dedicated staff work on the documents, and although Iran owns only 3% of the world’s nuclear facilities, it accounts for 20% of annual agency inspections conducted by 125 inspectors.
Importantly, this 60% enrichment milestone only reached after President Trump unilaterally withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal.
This measured escalation was not a sudden change, but a careful response to the rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape. This is a response exacerbated by the EU’s failure to assume the robust alternative role promised under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
However, Western fixation on “zero enrichment” ignores Iran’s sovereignty under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and its openness to negotiate caps and verifications.
The future could hold
An Iranian source told the Tehran Times that it determined that Tehran is preparing immediate measures as anti-Iranian resolutions at future IAEA committee meetings are inevitable.
Sources say the exact route remains unspecified, but Tehran has been able to pursue a variety of measures in response to growing concerns.
One possibility includes technical escalations that could result in advanced centrifuge installations on enhanced Fordow sites.
This approach could end the dilution of uranium enriched at 60%, pushing its enrichment to a higher level.
In addition to these moves, Iran may also accelerate research into uranium metal production, a technology with private applications that have long been explored by countries such as the US, Russia, China, France, India and Pakistan.
Another potential route could be intentional scaling of cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency. Tehran claims that it could limit testing and disable surveillance cameras, and that Western actions undermines the spirit of voluntary transparency.
This readjustment of openness could extend to suspension measures under additional protocols and reduced capabilities beyond the core requirements of international safeguards.
If E3 proceeds with a snapback, Iran’s response will be “fundamental and not limited to nuclear scales,” sources told the Tehran Times.
Withdrawal from the NPT is also a potential option.
Therefore, E3 could permanently cause the collapse of the JCPOA framework and eliminate constraints on Iran’s programmes while tackling the Ukrainian war and their own end mise and geopolitical irrelevance. The ball is in the courts of Europe.