Sunday, December 8, 2024, marked a turning point in Syria’s history. After the Ba’ath Party and the Assad family ruled the political and historical lands of the “Levant” for 54 years, the terrorists ended the London-educated ophthalmologist’s rule in just 10 days after conquering Aleppo, Hama and Homs. I succeeded in doing so. , Daraa, and finally Damascus. With the fall of Damascus, all government and military centers came under terrorist control. The Syrian Prime Minister has pledged to hold free elections to determine Syria’s constitution and future rulers, in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254.
Bashar al-Assad and his family arrived in Moscow on Sunday and received political asylum from Russia, Russia’s state-run TASS news agency said. Seeing that the conditions were ripe for expanding the war into Syria, Israeli army commander Helj Halevi officially announced that the Zionist regime would launch an offensive into southern Syria. Now, the question that comes to mind is how the rebels were able to advance toward the capital without encountering resistance from the military or the Syrian people, and then capture it in battle. Why does history not repeat itself and this time, unlike in 2011, Assad did not remain in power?
Why didn’t Assad ask the resistance for help?
Amid the Syrian rebel movements in Idlib province and the chaotic situation of the Syrian army on various fronts, Iranian military advisors visited Damascus last month to warn about ongoing developments in Arab countries. did. According to information received from security agencies, terrorists present in Idlib have begun an unprecedented move to train and equip their forces with various types of offensive and defensive weapons. Iranian military advisors, alarmed by terrorist movements in Idlib, needed President Assad’s green light to take action to revive and better prepare resistance forces near Idlib province.
During the visit of a delegation of Iranian commanders to Syria, it became increasingly clear to them that public dissatisfaction with the Syrian government was growing due to the lack of infrastructure reconstruction and mounting economic problems. Residents of Suwaida province, which has historically supported the Assad regime, have staged large-scale protests in recent months over widespread hunger, a lack of adequate public services, and the devaluation of the local currency, the Syrian pound, or lira. . Similar grievances and protests are likely to be seen in other parts of Syria. Iranian officials, Syria’s “true ally,” were aware that the Syrian government explained the challenges it faces in various military, economic and public spheres, and urged them to address them as necessary. .
Leaves the Resistance and is tricked by new friends
Unfortunately, President Bashar al-Assad, in response to the goodwill of Iranian friends, has publicly announced that no action is possible to resolve the above challenges. He also asserted that terrorists do not have the capacity to wage a large-scale war and that they would fight each other if military action were to begin. This flawed analysis served as an excuse to reduce Iran’s role in the development of the Levant, rather than as a result of intelligence or confidence on the domestic front. Earlier, President Assad had asked many of Iran’s former commanders to end their duties in the country at the request of Arab countries.
Assad’s change in tone and disregard for Iran’s warnings suggested empty promises from other actors active in Syria. In order to resolve serious economic problems and rebuild the damage caused by the civil war, the Syrian government has decided to gradually move away from Iran and turn to the United States and its regional allies, namely conservative Sunni countries. Apparently, early in the movement of terrorists to Aleppo province, promises of support to the Assad regime were made by several countries, but none of them were fulfilled by December 8th.
Reuters reports on December 2 that the United States and the United Arab Emirates will lift sanctions against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad if he withdraws from Iran and cuts arms routes to Lebanon’s Hezbollah. They reported that they had discussed the possibility. The US had tried to appease Assad by saying that Caesar sanctions would not be extended until December 20th and that he would receive economic aid. They did not keep their promise, and the Assad regime finally fell.
Despite all of the above, the Islamic Republic of Iran began high-level contacts with Bashar al-Assad, as terrorist war machines began to move out of Idlib, the Fourth De-escalation Zone, and that Tehran was in full control. expressed its readiness to cooperate. Support Damascus. In response to Iran’s generous offer, Assad made it clear to Tehran that he had no control over the battlefield against the rebels and that it was up to Iran to commit troops to the Syrian war. I told him. In other words, instead of sending a formal request for assistance to Iranian officials, Syria’s legitimate president decided to consider important proposals from his new friends. Over time, it turned out that the decision was wrong, and there was no time to correct it.
Despite the fact that President Assad shrugged off Iran’s warnings, Iranian forces remained on alert and were supposed to move from Damascus towards the front once they received the “green light.” In the final hours, President Assad was contacted and (possibly) the last time he was told that Iran was fully prepared to enter the Syrian battlefield and change the equation in favor of Damascus. Ultimately, Bashar al-Assad’s lack of preparedness, the military’s poor performance, and widespread public dissatisfaction with his government meant that, despite the “chance of success,” Iranian officials were reluctant to comment on developments in the situation in Syria. After several hours of discussion, we came to the following conclusion: The conditions for Iranian military aid to Bashar al-Assad were not in place.
conclusion
With Syria (temporarily) removed from the Axis of Resistance, ties between the various sides of the resistance front face uncertainty. This is particularly important given the importance of Hezbollah’s ties to the Mujahideen. The current rapid pace of development in the region and collaboration between the US, Israel and conservative Sunni countries will change the geography and demographics of northern Gaza, shifting the “balance of power” in favor of the Hebrews. This was a long-standing plan. Arab-Western Axis. But the “game” isn’t over yet! Islam’s history is checkered, and it gave the following message to the Mujahideen resistance group: If believers learn from the Battle of Uhud, the conquest of Khyber will continue.
MNA