President Donald Trump announced widespread new tariffs on Wednesday on almost all US trade partners (34% on imports from China and 20% on the European Union) that could demolish much of the world economy’s construction and cause a wider trade war.
In his Rose Garden announcement, Trump said he is increasing tariff rates on dozens of countries operating meaningful trade surpluses, while imposing a 10% baseline tax on imports from all countries, in response to what he called an economic emergency.
The president, who said tariffs were designed to boost domestic manufacturing, used aggressive rhetoric to explain the global trading system that the US supported building after World War II, saying, “Our country was plundered, plundered, raped and looted by other countries.”
Action amounts to historical tax hikes that could push global order to a breaking point. It kicks off what could be a painful transition for many Americans as a middle class necessity, such as housing, automobiles and clothing, while disrupting alliances built to ensure peace and economic stability.
Trump said he is acting to bring hundreds of billions of new revenue to the US government and restore fairness in global trade.
“Taxpayers have been fooled for over 50 years,” he said. “But it’s not going to happen anymore.”
Trump has declared a national economic emergency to collect tariffs. He has promised factory work will return to the US as a result of taxes, but his policies put a sudden economic slowdown at stake as consumers and businesses could face a sharp rise in price.
Trump was fulfilling his important campaign promises as he acted without Congress under the International Emergency Rights Act of 1977 and imposed what he called “mutual” tariffs on his trading partners. But his actions on Wednesday could put Trump’s voter duties at risk in last year’s election to combat inflation. Several Republican senators, particularly on farm and border nations, have questioned tariff wisdom. US stock market futures have already declined since the beginning of the year and were sold heavily overnight in hopes of a weaker economy.
“Today’s announcement brings US tariffs closer to levels not seen since the Smoot Holy Customs Act of 1930, sparking a world trade war and deepening the Great Repression,” said Colin Grabou, of the Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank.
The higher fees of the president will strike foreign entities selling more items to the United States than they would buy. The administration essentially calculates tariff rates and raises revenues to an extent equal to the imbalance of trade with these countries. Trump then halved that percentage with what he described as “very kind.”
The White House says tariffs and other trade imbalances have led to a $1.2 trillion imbalance last year. The administrative authorities have suggested that a series of measures by other countries could be taken to lower new tariffs currently facing imports, and that retaliatory tariffs by those countries could exacerbate the situation.
Orsonora, head of US economic research at Fitch Rating, said the average tariff rate charged by the US will increase from 2.5% in 2024 to about 22%.
“There’s a good chance that many countries will be in a recession,” Sonora said. “If this tariff rate is ongoing for a long time, you can throw away most forecasts through the door.”
The new tariffs will be in addition to the recent announcement of a 25% tax on automobile imports. Taxation on China, Canada and Mexico. He expanded trade penalties for steel and aluminum. Trump has also imposed tariffs on countries that import oil from Venezuela, and plans separate import taxes on drugs, wood, copper and computer chips.
Canada and Mexico don’t face a higher rate of what they’ve already been billed by Trump, he says is an effort to stop illegal immigration and drug smuggling. Currently, products complying with the USMCA North American Trade Agreement are excluded from these duties.
However, due to its role in fentanyl production, 20% of imports from China were billed primarily to the 34% announced by Trump. Certain products where Trump is a tariff, such as cars, will be exempt from the tariffs announced Wednesday.
====Backlash Threat
Despite the risk of political backlash, warning signs that stock markets and consumer sentiment are becoming unhappy, have not made the administration publicly speculate on its strategy second.
A senior administration official who advocated anonymity to preview the new tariffs with reporters ahead of Trump’s speech, said taxes would make annual revenues of hundreds of millions of dollars a year. They said there was a 10% baseline rate to ensure compliance, but the higher rate was based on a trade deficit with other countries, and then halved to reach the number Trump presented at Rose Garden.
A 10% rate will be collected starting on Saturday, and a higher rate will be collected starting on April 9th.
Trump has removed tariff exemptions for imports from China below $800. He plans to remove the exemptions other countries have for imports under $800 after the federal government has identified it as implementing staff and resources.
Based on the broader tariff potential that has been raised by some White House aides, most external analyses by banks and think tanks look at an economy that has been altered due to rising prices and stagnation of growth.
Trump will apply these tariffs on his own. He has a way of doing so without Congressional approval. This makes it easier for democratic lawmakers and policymakers to criticize the administration when the uncertainty and reduced consumer sentiment expressed by businesses are indications of coming.
Rep. Suzan Delbene, D-Wash. said tariffs are “part of confusion and dysfunction” throughout the Trump administration. The chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee stressed that Trump should not have the sole authority to raise taxes without lawmakers’ approval, saying Republicans have been “blindly loyal” so far.
“The president should not be able to do that,” Delvene said. “This is a massive tax hike on American families and there’s no vote in Congress. … President Trump has promised to cut costs on the first day on the campaign trail. Now he says he doesn’t care if prices rise.
Even Republicans who trust Trump’s instincts have acknowledged that tariffs could destroy the economy with an unemployment rate of 4.1%.
“We’ll see how everything develops,” said house speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA. “It might be Rocky at first, but I think this makes sense to Americans and helps all Americans.”
====Allies tighten themselves
Long-time trading partners have prepared their own measures. Canada is imposing some in response to tariffs that Trump has led to fentanyl trafficking. The European Union has placed taxes on US goods worth 26 billion euros ($28 billion) including bourbon in response to tariffs on steel and aluminum, urging Trump to threaten a 200% tariff on European alcohol.
Many allies feel they are reluctantly drawn into the Trump conflict.
The flip side is that while Americans have incomes to choose to buy designer gowns from German manufacturers in French fashion houses and cars, World Bank data shows that the EU earns less per capita than the US.
The Chinese government has made a measured response to the new tariffs, saying, “China believes protectionism is nowhere to go, and there are no winners in trade and tariff wars, which is widely recognized by the international community.”
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Trump’s new tariffs would “fundamentally change the international trade system.” He said that tariffs already in place against his country and plans he adds will be fought against measures.
“It’s important to get together in a crisis, it’s essential to act with purpose and power, and that’s what we do,” Carney said.
Italian conservative Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said Trump’s new tariffs on the EU were “wrong” and that Italy would work towards an agreement with the US to avoid a trade war that would weaken all involved.
Jay Foreman, the basic fun CEO behind classic toys like Tonka Trucks, Lincoln Logs, and Care Bears, has been working hard to come up with new ways to reduce customs related costs, such as reducing packaging and eliminating batteries in products.
But Trump’s announcement that he plans to increase tariffs on Chinese imports by 34% has solidified his decision to raise prices. Most of the company’s toys are made in China. He said Tonka’s mighty dump trucks will go from $29.99 to $39.99 this holiday season, perhaps even $45.
“There’s no other way,” he said.
(Source: AP)